Turkey is currently in Stage 4 of the DTM (Demographic Transition Model).
This means that Turkey has experienced a significant decline in both birth and death rates, resulting in a stable population growth rate. The country has moved from a high birth and death rate in the past to a low birth and death rate in the present.
Some key characteristics of Stage 4 DTM include:
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Low birth rate: Turkey's total fertility rate is currently around 1.8 children per woman, which is below the replacement level of 2.1 children per woman.
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Low death rate: Improvements in healthcare, sanitation, and living standards have led to a significant decline in death rates.
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Stable population growth: The combination of low birth and death rates results in a relatively stable population growth rate.
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Aging population: As birth rates decline and life expectancy increases, the proportion of older people in the population rises.
Turkey's transition to Stage 4 has been influenced by several factors, including:
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Economic development: As Turkey's economy has developed, people have become more educated and have chosen to have fewer children.
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Social changes: Increased urbanization, female education, and access to contraception have also contributed to lower birth rates.
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Improved healthcare: Advancements in healthcare have led to a significant decline in infant and child mortality rates, contributing to a lower death rate.
While Turkey is currently in Stage 4, it's important to note that population dynamics can be complex and influenced by various factors. As Turkey continues to develop, its population structure and growth rate may continue to evolve.