The Z score in trading is a statistical measure that helps traders understand how far a particular price point is from the average price, measured in standard deviations.
A standard deviation is a measure of how spread out the data is. A higher standard deviation means the data is more spread out, while a lower standard deviation means the data is more clustered around the average.
The Z score is calculated by subtracting the average price from the current price and then dividing that difference by the standard deviation. A positive Z score indicates the current price is above the average, while a negative Z score indicates the current price is below the average.
Traders use the Z score to identify potential trading opportunities. For example, a high Z score might suggest that the price is overbought and likely to fall, while a low Z score might suggest that the price is oversold and likely to rise.
Here are some key points about the Z score in trading:
- It is a standardized measure: This means that it can be used to compare different assets or different timeframes.
- It can be used to identify potential trading opportunities: Traders can use the Z score to identify overbought and oversold conditions.
- It is not a perfect indicator: The Z score is just one of many tools that traders can use to make trading decisions.
Example:
Imagine a stock with an average price of $100 and a standard deviation of $5. If the current price is $110, the Z score would be 2. This indicates that the current price is two standard deviations above the average.
In summary: The Z score in trading is a valuable tool for traders to understand the relative position of a price point within its historical data. By identifying overbought and oversold conditions, traders can potentially improve their trading decisions.